Vis Pesaro 1-1 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.56
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.9pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.45/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.11
+10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pontedera
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.01.2025 Pontedera Pontedera 0-1 HT 0-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
14.09.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
02.03.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
26.10.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 0-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
15.02.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
18.09.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 1-1 HT 0-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
1-1
AWAY Pontedera
70% Ball Possession 30%
26 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro and Pontedera shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 70% of the ball to Pontedera's 30%, shots finished 26-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vis Pesaro had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vis Pesaro and 0.50 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Pontedera?

Vis Pesaro 1-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 38%, draw 33%, Pontedera 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vis Pesaro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
4 May 2025
18:30 Renate vs Arzignano Valchiampo Analysis →
18:30 GIANA Erminio vs Virtus Verona Analysis →
21:00 Trento AC vs Atalanta II Analysis →
21:00 Pineto vs Pianese Analysis →
21:00 Arezzo vs Gubbio Analysis →
21:00 Benevento vs Juventus II Analysis →