Pontedera 0-1 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.52
6+ Goals
7%
25.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.36 — our 39% vs market 34.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.0pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.20/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.85
+4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
02.03.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
26.10.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 0-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
15.02.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
18.09.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 1-1 HT 0-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
02.02.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 1-1 HT 0-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
0-1
AWAY Vis Pesaro
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro squeezed past Pontedera 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Vis Pesaro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pontedera had 47% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 53%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pontedera and 0.83 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Vis Pesaro?

Pontedera 0-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 33%, draw 31%, Vis Pesaro 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vis Pesaro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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