Atalanta II 3-1 Trento AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 34% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Trento AC EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
0.81/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.99
-39% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Trento AC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-0 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
10.09.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 0-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
3-1
AWAY Trento AC
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Trento AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II beat Trento AC 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atalanta II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atalanta II had 47% of the ball to Trento AC's 53%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atalanta II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atalanta II and 0.00 for Trento AC.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Trento AC?

Atalanta II 3-1 Trento AC in the Italy - Serie C on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Trento AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 43%, draw 27%, Trento AC 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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