Al Ahli FC Dubai 0-1 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒16:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.64
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
2.65
6+ Goals
9%
6.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.74/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.22
+12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
15.5 Crosses 17.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Ain
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.62
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
213 Passes 337
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2025 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
10.01.2025 Al Ain Al Ain 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
27.04.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
26.11.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
01.04.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
29.10.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
0-1
AWAY Al Ain
2.25 xG 1.37
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
352 Passes 248
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain nicked a narrow win over Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli FC Dubai at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Ahli FC Dubai had 57% of the ball to Al Ain's 43%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.25 to 1.37 — on chances, Al Ahli FC Dubai could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 1.00 for Al Ain.

What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Ain?

Al Ahli FC Dubai 0-1 Al Ain in the UAE - League on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 41%, draw 25%, Al Ain 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✗ BTTS Yes
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