Avia Swidnik 3-1 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avia Swidnik EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
349 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avia Swidnik
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2024 Avia Swidnik 1-3 HT 0-1 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avia Swidnik
3-1
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avia Swidnik vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avia Swidnik saw off Ruch Chorzow 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ruch Chorzow at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Avia Swidnik had 42% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 58%, shots finished 14-18.

What was the final score of Avia Swidnik vs Ruch Chorzow?

Avia Swidnik 3-1 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - Cup on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avia Swidnik vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Avia Swidnik 31%, draw 21%, Ruch Chorzow 47%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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