Arka Gdynia 1-0 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.3pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-49% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.49 xG 1.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
235 Passes 375
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 39
21 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2025 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
02.06.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-2 HT 1-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL1
12.04.2024 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 2-2 HT 2-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
29.09.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 1-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
1-0
AWAY Motor Lublin
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia nicked a narrow win over Motor Lublin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Arka Gdynia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 50% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 50%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Motor Lublin led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.25 for Motor Lublin.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin?

Arka Gdynia 1-0 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Cup on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 38%, draw 27%, Motor Lublin 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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