Motor Lublin vs Arka Gdynia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motor Lublin v Arka Gdynia — Team-Based Signals
Motor Lublin vs Arka Gdynia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Motor Lublin
POL1
Motor Lublin 1-0 Arka Gdynia — Actual Match Statistics
Motor Lublin squeezed past Arka Gdynia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Motor Lublin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Motor Lublin had 60% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 40%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.92 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Motor Lublin's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Motor Lublin and 1.67 for Arka Gdynia.
What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Arka Gdynia?
Motor Lublin 1-0 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Arka Gdynia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 41%, draw 24%, Arka Gdynia 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motor Lublin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.