Radomiak Radom 5-1 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.27
6+ Goals
13%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.88
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
8%
5.98
X/2
15%
5.82
X/X
11%
4.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
28.0
2/2
15%
3.71
2/X
6%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 14% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 40%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -25%
1.41/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.54
+10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
22.2 Crosses 22.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 2.03
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
191 Passes 427
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-0 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
08.11.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-1 HT 0-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
16.02.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-4 HT 0-3 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
13.08.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-2 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
27.05.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
13.11.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-2 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
5-1
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.66 xG 1.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
240 Passes 333
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom cruised past Pogon Szczecin 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Radomiak Radom made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 43% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 57%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.66 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.67 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin?

Radomiak Radom 5-1 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 39%, draw 24%, Pogon Szczecin 37%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomiak Radom), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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