25/09/2026
·
21:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
⟳Odds and our pick may update before kickoff — check again closer to match time. This match may also enter or leave our daily prediction lists until kick-off; from kick-off, a listed pick is locked and stays published.
İtalya vs Belçika Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
Unlock the full board
Create a free account and every market opens for every match — no limits. Every finished match is free to review.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
İtalya v Belçika — Team-Based Signals
SIGNALS
Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
İtalya vs Belçika Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
İtalya
4W-1D-1L
AWAY
Belçika
1.83
Avg Goals (FT)
1.33
1.86
xG
1.17
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
8
408
Passes
469
87%
Pass Accuracy
87%
21
Box Touches
29
10
Crosses
19
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
PREVIEW
İtalya vs Belçika
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW
If you want certainty, look elsewhere: our numbers call this one almost dead level.
The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, İtalya have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for İtalya and 1.33 for Belçika.
İtalya vs Belçika Kick-off Time
İtalya play Belçika in the UEFA Nations League on 25/09/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
İtalya vs Belçika Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for İtalya vs Belçika is a İtalya win at about 42% probability, priced 2.18 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is İtalya 42%, draw 28%, Belçika 30%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
AVUL
More UEFA Nations League
25 Sep 2026