Pro Patria 1-1 Trento AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.78
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Trento AC EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.01/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.74
-14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Trento AC
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2024 Trento AC Trento AC 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
24.10.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-2 HT 0-1 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
11.02.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
16.10.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-2 HT 0-2 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
01.02.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-0 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
04.09.2021 Trento AC Trento AC 3-0 HT 2-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1-1
AWAY Trento AC
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Trento AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria and Trento AC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pro Patria had 53% of the ball to Trento AC's 47%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trento AC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Pro Patria and 1.17 for Trento AC.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Trento AC?

Pro Patria 1-1 Trento AC in the Italy - Serie C on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Trento AC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 32%, draw 32%, Trento AC 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trento AC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trento AC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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