Drochtersen / Assel 1-0 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.70/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.90
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drochtersen / Assel
3W-0D-3L
AWAY St. Pauli II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
21.04.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-2 HT 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-0 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
05.02.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 5-2 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
17.08.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-1 HT 2-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
28.11.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
12.09.2021 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 0-4 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Drochtersen / Assel vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel squeezed past St. Pauli II 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Drochtersen / Assel as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Drochtersen / Assel and 1.83 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of Drochtersen / Assel vs St. Pauli II?

Drochtersen / Assel 1-0 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drochtersen / Assel vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Drochtersen / Assel 46%, draw 26%, St. Pauli II 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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