Orlando Pirates 2-1 AmaZulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.9
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY AmaZulu EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.72/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.43
+10% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
18.0 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
4W-2D-0L
AWAY AmaZulu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.59 xG 0.85
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
333 Passes 222
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
13.04.2024 AmaZulu AmaZulu 2-4 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
24.10.2023 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
05.11.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 1-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAF8K
14.10.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-1 HT 1-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
06.02.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
2-1
AWAY AmaZulu
2.13 xG 0.43
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
355 Passes 198
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 9
10 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs AmaZulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates nicked a narrow win over AmaZulu 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 60% of the ball to AmaZulu's 40%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.13 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Orlando Pirates's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orlando Pirates and 0.50 for AmaZulu.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs AmaZulu?

Orlando Pirates 2-1 AmaZulu in the South Afrika - Premier League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs AmaZulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 55%, draw 24%, AmaZulu 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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