Kerala Blasters 1-3 Bengaluru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 25 Oct 2024

Kerala Blasters
1-3 HT 1-1
Bengaluru
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

Kerala Blasters vs Bengaluru Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kerala Blasters v Bengaluru — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -20%
0.98/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.26
+8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
15.9 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kerala Blasters vs Bengaluru Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerala Blasters
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bengaluru
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.67 xG 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
296 Passes 249
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-0 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
21.09.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
18.08.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 2-2 HT 1-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HINDK
16.04.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-1 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HINSK
03.03.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-0 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
11.02.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-0 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL

Kerala Blasters 1-3 Bengaluru — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerala Blasters
1-3
AWAY Bengaluru
1.57 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
332 Passes 249
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 5
30 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kerala Blasters vs Bengaluru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bengaluru saw off Kerala Blasters 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kerala Blasters at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kerala Blasters had 56% of the ball to Bengaluru's 44%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.57 to 1.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kerala Blasters.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bengaluru led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kerala Blasters and 1.17 for Bengaluru.

What was the final score of Kerala Blasters vs Bengaluru?

Kerala Blasters 1-3 Bengaluru in the India - Super League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerala Blasters vs Bengaluru?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerala Blasters win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kerala Blasters 41%, draw 27%, Bengaluru 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kerala Blasters) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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