Nacional Asuncion 1-0 General Caballero JLM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.62/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.30
-1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
2W-3D-1L
AWAY General Caballero JLM
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
14.04.2024 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-2 HT 0-2 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
24.01.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-2 HT 1-1 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
02.11.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
21.08.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-3 HT 0-2 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
24.04.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-0 HT 0-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1-0
AWAY General Caballero JLM
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs General Caballero JLM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion edged past General Caballero JLM 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional Asuncion as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 41% of the ball to General Caballero JLM's 59%, shots finished 4-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.00 for General Caballero JLM.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs General Caballero JLM?

Nacional Asuncion 1-0 General Caballero JLM in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs General Caballero JLM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 44%, draw 31%, General Caballero JLM 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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