CFR Cluj 3-3 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.33
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
0.92/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.78
-5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
14.0 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CFR Cluj
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sepsi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 2-1 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
29.03.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 1-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
17.12.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 2-1 HT 0-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
05.10.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 3-0 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
20.05.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-2 HT 1-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
26.04.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 3-0 HT 2-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CFR Cluj
3-3
AWAY Sepsi
2.08 xG 1.02
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
333 Passes 183
75% Pass Accuracy 63%
31 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CFR Cluj vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CFR Cluj and Sepsi shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CFR Cluj at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CFR Cluj had 61% of the ball to Sepsi's 39%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.08 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CFR Cluj had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CFR Cluj and 1.33 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of CFR Cluj vs Sepsi?

CFR Cluj 3-3 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CFR Cluj vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a CFR Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CFR Cluj 44%, draw 28%, Sepsi 28%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CFR Cluj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →