Foshan Nanshi 2-1 Shanghai Jiading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.97
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 33% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
50%
+8.5pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.1pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.14/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.97
+6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
20.0 Crosses 14.8
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.65 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
367 Passes 287
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 0-2 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
22.06.2025 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 2-1 HT 2-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
10.05.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
13.10.2024 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
17.09.2024 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 0-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
02.06.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-2 HT 0-1 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foshan Nanshi
2-1
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
2.27 xG 0.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
274 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Shanghai Jiading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi squeezed past Shanghai Jiading 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Foshan Nanshi as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Foshan Nanshi had 48% of the ball to Shanghai Jiading's 52%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.27 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Foshan Nanshi's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Jiading led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 0.83 for Shanghai Jiading.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Shanghai Jiading?

Foshan Nanshi 2-1 Shanghai Jiading in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Shanghai Jiading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foshan Nanshi win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 58%, draw 21%, Shanghai Jiading 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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