Hubei Istar 2-1 Guangdong Mingtu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.75
Over 2.5
35%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
53%
+11.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
47%
-11.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.7pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hubei Istar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangdong Mingtu EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.07/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.18
-67% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -61%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
25.0 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hubei Istar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Guangdong Mingtu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.54 xG 0.62
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
80 Passes 122
40% Pass Accuracy 44%
21 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 4
20.09.2025 Guangdong Mingtu 0-1 HT 0-1 Hubei Istar Hubei Istar ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hubei Istar
2-1
AWAY Guangdong Mingtu
1.58 xG 0.23
28% Ball Possession 72%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
160 Passes 543
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hubei Istar vs Guangdong Mingtu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hubei Istar edged past Guangdong Mingtu 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; Hubei Istar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hubei Istar had 28% of the ball to Guangdong Mingtu's 72%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.58 to 0.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hubei Istar's control.

What was the final score of Hubei Istar vs Guangdong Mingtu?

Hubei Istar 2-1 Guangdong Mingtu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hubei Istar vs Guangdong Mingtu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hubei Istar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hubei Istar 40%, draw 33%, Guangdong Mingtu 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hubei Istar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hubei Istar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
25 Oct 2025
00:00 Quanzhou Yassin vs Lanzhou Longyuan Analysis →
00:00 Shanghai Port II vs Wenzhou FC Analysis →
00:00 Jiangxi Beidamen vs Wuhan Three Towns II Analysis →
00:00 Guangzhou Dandelion vs Hangzhou Linping Analysis →
00:00 Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City Analysis →
09:30 Hainan Star vs BIT Beijing Analysis →