Hainan Star 2-3 BIT Beijing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
35%
+7.0pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY BIT Beijing EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.94/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.10
-1% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
14.8 Crosses 18.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hainan Star
1W-0D-2L
AWAY BIT Beijing
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 1.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
208 Passes 165
60% Pass Accuracy 57%
11 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2025 BIT Beijing BIT Beijing 3-2 HT 2-1 Hainan Star Hainan Star ÇİN2
12.10.2024 BIT Beijing BIT Beijing 0-1 HT 0-0 Hainan Star Hainan Star ÇİN2
25.09.2024 Hainan Star Hainan Star 1-2 HT 1-0 BIT Beijing BIT Beijing ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hainan Star
2-3
AWAY BIT Beijing
0.46 xG 0.41
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 0
474 Passes 185
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hainan Star vs BIT Beijing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BIT Beijing squeezed past Hainan Star 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hainan Star at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hainan Star had 68% of the ball to BIT Beijing's 32%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.46 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, BIT Beijing led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hainan Star and 1.67 for BIT Beijing.

What was the final score of Hainan Star vs BIT Beijing?

Hainan Star 2-3 BIT Beijing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hainan Star vs BIT Beijing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hainan Star win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hainan Star 42%, draw 23%, BIT Beijing 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hainan Star) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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