Qingdao Red Lions 2-3 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.91
Over 2.5
38%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.29
6+ Goals
8%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 32% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 48%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
0.83/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.90
-73% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.9 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Nanjing City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.01 xG 0.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
242 Passes 178
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2025 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
26.10.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 2-1 HT 1-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
15.06.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-1 HT 0-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nanjing City nicked a narrow win over Qingdao Red Lions 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nanjing City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nanjing City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Qingdao Red Lions and 1.67 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City?

Qingdao Red Lions 2-3 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Red Lions vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nanjing City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Red Lions 26%, draw 31%, Nanjing City 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nanjing City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nanjing City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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