Mlada Boleslav 2-4 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.31/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.60
+24% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +52%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 82%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.4 Crosses 15.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Karvina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 4.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
263 Passes 336
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Karvina Karvina 3-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
27.10.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-1 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
13.12.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-2 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
05.08.2023 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 0-2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
06.03.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
03.10.2021 Karvina Karvina 0-1 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2-4
AWAY Karvina
1.73 xG 2.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
313 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 36
7 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina saw off Mlada Boleslav 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Karvina made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 50% of the ball to Karvina's 50%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.73 to 2.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.17 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Karvina?

Mlada Boleslav 2-4 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 41%, draw 23%, Karvina 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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