Karvina 3-1 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
12%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.50/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.46
-2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
23.7 Crosses 11.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
348 Passes 263
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-1 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
13.12.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-2 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
05.08.2023 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 0-2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
06.03.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
03.10.2021 Karvina Karvina 0-1 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
28.02.2021 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
3-1
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
4.34 xG 1.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
24 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
323 Passes 263
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
40 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina saw off Mlada Boleslav 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Karvina made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Karvina had 54% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 46%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 4.34 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Karvina and 1.50 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Mlada Boleslav?

Karvina 3-1 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Karvina 35%, draw 28%, Mlada Boleslav 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
30 Mar 2025
14:00 Slovacko vs Slovan Liberec Analysis →
16:30 Hradec Kralove vs Ceske Budejovice Analysis →
19:30 Sparta Prag vs Viktoria Plzen Analysis →