Hradec Kralove 1-0 Ceske Budejovice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.88
6+ Goals
13%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.2pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.2pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 12%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.15/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.26
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
23.9 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
250 Passes 285
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-2 HT 0-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
13.12.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-2 HT 0-2 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
05.08.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 5-1 HT 3-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
16.04.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-1 HT 2-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
01.02.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-0 HT 2-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEKK
23.10.2022 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-3 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
1-0
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
2.37 xG 0.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
372 Passes 250
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs Ceske Budejovice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove squeezed past Ceske Budejovice 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hradec Kralove as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 57% of the ball to Ceske Budejovice's 43%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.37 to 0.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hradec Kralove's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hradec Kralove had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hradec Kralove and 0.67 for Ceske Budejovice.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs Ceske Budejovice?

Hradec Kralove 1-0 Ceske Budejovice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs Ceske Budejovice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hradec Kralove win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 62%, draw 22%, Ceske Budejovice 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hradec Kralove), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hradec Kralove) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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