Sparta Prag vs Viktoria Plzen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sparta Prag v Viktoria Plzen — Team-Based Signals
Sparta Prag vs Viktoria Plzen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Viktoria Plzen
ÇEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Viktoria Plzen
ÇEK
Sparta Prag 2-4 Viktoria Plzen — Actual Match Statistics
Viktoria Plzen beat Sparta Prag 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sparta Prag had 59% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 41%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.41 to 1.95.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.50 for Viktoria Plzen.
What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Viktoria Plzen?
Sparta Prag 2-4 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Viktoria Plzen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 43%, draw 29%, Viktoria Plzen 29%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.