Sparta Prag 1-1 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.38
Over 2.5
41%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.66
No
61%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
4.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
19%
2.78
6+ Goals
8%
7.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.94 — our 34% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-14.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
38%
+21.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
62%
-21.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
56%
-16.9pp
61%
BTTS No
44%
+16.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
2.09/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.45
+26% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
41.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
24.0 Crosses 20.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.13 xG 2.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
271 Passes 417
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.05.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-2 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
10.03.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 4-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
30.09.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 2-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
27.05.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
26.04.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
05.11.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
1-1
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
2.60 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
345 Passes 327
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag and Viktoria Plzen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 52% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 48%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.60 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.33 for Viktoria Plzen.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Viktoria Plzen?

Sparta Prag 1-1 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 49%, draw 25%, Viktoria Plzen 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sparta Prag), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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