Livingston 1-2 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.63
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.63
1/2 EV+ ✓
8%
24.85
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
11%
6.68
X/2
15%
5.12
X/X
9%
4.88
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.07
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.24/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.94
-7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
241 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 71%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
15.7 Crosses 26.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Motherwell
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.11 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
264 Passes 259
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 4-1 HT 2-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
28.02.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-3 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
30.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-1 HT 3-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
07.10.2023 Livingston Livingston 2-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
24.05.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
08.04.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-0 HT 3-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
1-2
AWAY Motherwell
2.43 xG 2.16
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 3
246 Passes 524
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell nicked a narrow win over Livingston 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Motherwell made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Livingston had 35% of the ball to Motherwell's 65%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 2.43 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Livingston and 2.33 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Motherwell?

Livingston 1-2 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Livingston 33%, draw 27%, Motherwell 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motherwell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
25 Oct 2025
17:00 Falkirk vs Dundee FC Analysis →
17:00 Dundee United vs St. Mirren Analysis →