Millwall 1-0 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.69
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
13.75
X/1
11%
6.29
X/2
16%
5.05
X/X
13%
4.21
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.34
2/X
4%
13.3
Value flag · 1/X at 13.75 — our 9% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.14/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.55
+1% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -22%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
20.8 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Leicester City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.02 xG 1.66
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
211 Passes 559
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2024 Millwall Millwall 1-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
06.01.2024 Millwall Millwall 2-3 HT 0-2 Leicester City Leicester City FAK
13.12.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 3-2 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
22.09.2021 Millwall Millwall 0-2 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNLK
18.02.2017 Millwall Millwall 1-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City FAK
01.01.2014 Millwall Millwall 1-3 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
1-0
AWAY Leicester City
1.58 xG 0.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
210 Passes 286
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall edged past Leicester City 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Millwall had 47% of the ball to Leicester City's 53%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.58 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Millwall and 1.83 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Leicester City?

Millwall 1-0 Leicester City in the England - Championship on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Millwall 32%, draw 27%, Leicester City 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leicester City), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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