Swansea City 2-1 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.19
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.16
X/2
10%
6.5
X/X
12%
4.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
16%
4.57
2/X
7%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.35/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.47
-7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
21.0 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Norwich City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.57 xG 1.32
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
492 Passes 348
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Norwich City Norwich City 5-1 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
14.09.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
04.10.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 1-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
22.04.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 0-3 HT 0-2 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
10.12.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
05.02.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 2-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
2-1
AWAY Norwich City
0.43 xG 1.21
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
351 Passes 513
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City nicked a narrow win over Norwich City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Swansea City had 42% of the ball to Norwich City's 58%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.43 to 1.21 — on chances, Norwich City could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Swansea City and 1.17 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Norwich City?

Swansea City 2-1 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 43%, draw 25%, Norwich City 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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