Basingstoke Town 1-0 Dorchester Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Dorchester Town
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2025 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
28.12.2024 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
17.08.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
11.11.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 4-1 HT 2-0 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town nicked a narrow win over Dorchester Town 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Basingstoke Town made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dorchester Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Basingstoke Town and 2.00 for Dorchester Town.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town?

Basingstoke Town 1-0 Dorchester Town in the England - FA Cup on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 40%, draw 24%, Dorchester Town 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basingstoke Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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