Dorchester Town 3-2 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.0pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.5pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.4pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 31%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.21/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.76
+27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorchester Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Basingstoke Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.08.2024 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
11.11.2023 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 4-1 HT 2-0 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorchester Town
3-2
AWAY Basingstoke Town
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dorchester Town vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorchester Town edged past Basingstoke Town 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dorchester Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dorchester Town had 46% of the ball to Basingstoke Town's 54%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dorchester Town and 1.50 for Basingstoke Town.

What was the final score of Dorchester Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Dorchester Town 3-2 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorchester Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorchester Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dorchester Town 45%, draw 33%, Basingstoke Town 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorchester Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dorchester Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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