Royston Town 3-0 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royston Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.86/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.92
+7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royston Town
1W-2D-0L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.08.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-1 HT 1-1 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
06.01.2024 Royston Town Royston Town 2-1 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
12.09.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-1 HT 0-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royston Town
3-0
AWAY AFC Sudbury
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Royston Town vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royston Town swept aside AFC Sudbury 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Royston Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Royston Town had 52% of the ball to AFC Sudbury's 48%, shots finished 5-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Royston Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Royston Town and 1.00 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Royston Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Royston Town 3-0 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royston Town vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Royston Town 48%, draw 26%, AFC Sudbury 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Royston Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Royston Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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