AFC Sudbury 1-1 Royston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.3pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Royston Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -26%
1.01/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.62
-36% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
393 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Royston Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
06.01.2024 Royston Town Royston Town 2-1 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
12.09.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-1 HT 0-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Royston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury and Royston Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Royston Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Royston Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Sudbury and 1.50 for Royston Town.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Royston Town?

AFC Sudbury 1-1 Royston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Royston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Royston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 37%, draw 20%, Royston Town 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Royston Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Royston Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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