Spalding United 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.60/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.36
-2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spalding United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
17.08.2024 Bromsgrove Sporting 2-0 HT 1-0 Spalding United Spalding United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spalding United
1-1
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Bromsgrove Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United and Bromsgrove Sporting couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Spalding United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Spalding United had 61% of the ball to Bromsgrove Sporting's 39%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Spalding United 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting in the England - Non League Premier on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 43%, draw 24%, Bromsgrove Sporting 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spalding United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spalding United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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