Hitchin Town 3-3 AFC Telford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
56%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hitchin Town EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 59%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.88/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.89
-27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hitchin Town
0W-2D-1L
AWAY AFC Telford United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.08.2024 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 5-4 HT 2-2 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
23.03.2024 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
18.11.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-0 HT 0-0 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Hitchin Town vs AFC Telford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hitchin Town and AFC Telford United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AFC Telford United at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Telford United led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hitchin Town and 2.00 for AFC Telford United.

What was the final score of Hitchin Town vs AFC Telford United?

Hitchin Town 3-3 AFC Telford United in the England - Non League Premier on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hitchin Town vs AFC Telford United?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hitchin Town 22%, draw 22%, AFC Telford United 56%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Telford United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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