Harborough Town 4-0 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.5pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.9pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +24%
1.41/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.66
-14% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harborough Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Leiston
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.08.2024 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 0-1 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harborough Town
4-0
AWAY Leiston
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town cruised past Leiston 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 20% / 38%) promised a tight game; Harborough Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Harborough Town had 45% of the ball to Leiston's 55%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Leiston?

Harborough Town 4-0 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 41%, draw 20%, Leiston 38%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✓ Over 2.5
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