Leiston 1-1 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.9pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.45/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-12% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +58%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston and Harborough Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leiston at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Harborough Town?

Leiston 1-1 Harborough Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leiston 42%, draw 24%, Harborough Town 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leiston), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiston) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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