Basford United 1-3 Worksop Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.5
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
60%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.56
No
59%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
25%
-3.9pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.5pp
60%
Away Win
52%
+8.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
60%
-19.4pp
59%
BTTS No
40%
+19.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basford United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 56%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.22/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.16
-9% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
276 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basford United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Worksop Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Worksop Town Worksop Town 6-3 HT 3-1 Basford United Basford United FAK
01.04.2024 Basford United Basford United 3-1 HT 0-1 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
26.12.2023 Worksop Town Worksop Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basford United
1-3
AWAY Worksop Town
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Basford United vs Worksop Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town saw off Basford United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Worksop Town as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Basford United had 46% of the ball to Worksop Town's 54%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Worksop Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Basford United and 2.67 for Worksop Town.

What was the final score of Basford United vs Worksop Town?

Basford United 1-3 Worksop Town in the England - Non League Premier on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basford United vs Worksop Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Basford United 21%, draw 19%, Worksop Town 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
28 Dec 2024
16:00 Royston Town vs AFC Sudbury Analysis →
18:00 Stourbridge vs Stamford Analysis →
18:00 Bishops Stortford vs Redditch United Analysis →
18:00 Spalding United vs Bromsgrove Sporting Analysis →
18:00 Hitchin Town vs AFC Telford United Analysis →
18:00 Stratford Town vs Kettering Town Analysis →