Bradford Park Avenue 1-1 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.5pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford Park Avenue EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.83
+64% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford Park Avenue
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Morpeth Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.01.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Bradford Park Avenue Bradford Park Avenue İNGNLP
21.08.2023 Bradford Park Avenue Bradford Park Avenue 2-0 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bradford Park Avenue vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford Park Avenue and Morpeth Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bradford Park Avenue at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bradford Park Avenue and 1.00 for Morpeth Town.

What was the final score of Bradford Park Avenue vs Morpeth Town?

Bradford Park Avenue 1-1 Morpeth Town in the England - FA Cup on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford Park Avenue vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford Park Avenue win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bradford Park Avenue 41%, draw 25%, Morpeth Town 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bradford Park Avenue), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford Park Avenue) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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