Burgos vs Real Sociedad II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Real Sociedad II — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Real Sociedad II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Real Sociedad II
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
Burgos
İS2
0-2
HT 0-0
Real Sociedad II
İS3
Burgos 1-0 Real Sociedad II — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos squeezed past Real Sociedad II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Burgos had 49% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 51%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.05 to 0.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Burgos's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Burgos and 0.67 for Real Sociedad II.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
Burgos 1-0 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Burgos 53%, draw 29%, Real Sociedad II 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.