Mirandes 1-3 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.73
No
39%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
14%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.67
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
9%
7.63
X/2
14%
4.69
X/X
9%
4.85
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.67
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
54%
+7.2pp
39%
BTTS No
46%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 51%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.11/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.59
+20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
15.2 Crosses 9.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 1.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
251 Passes 296
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.06.2025 Mirandes Mirandes 4-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
08.06.2025 Racing Santander Racing Santander 3-3 HT 1-2 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
22.03.2025 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
30.11.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
11.05.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
03.12.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
1-3
AWAY Racing Santander
1.82 xG 2.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
317 Passes 321
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 36
26 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander beat Mirandes 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mirandes had 51% of the ball to Racing Santander's 49%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.82 to 2.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirandes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mirandes and 1.00 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Racing Santander?

Mirandes 1-3 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 31%, draw 23%, Racing Santander 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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