Cultural Leonesa 0-1 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 25 Oct 2025

Cultural Leonesa
0-1 HT 0-1
Ceuta
📅25/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Cultural Leonesa vs Ceuta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.05
6+ Goals
10%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.36
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.15
X/2
11%
6.43
X/X
16%
4.09
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
12%
4.74
2/X
5%
13.3
Value flag · 1/X at 12.85 — our 11% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cultural Leonesa v Ceuta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+32% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.2 Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards –

Cultural Leonesa vs Ceuta Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ceuta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.05.2025 Ceuta Ceuta 4-3 HT 1-3 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
28.05.2025 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 2-2 HT 2-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
22.01.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 2-1 HT 1-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
04.09.2022 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3

Cultural Leonesa 0-1 Ceuta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
0-1
AWAY Ceuta
1.03 xG 1.11
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
507 Passes 230
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta nicked a narrow win over Cultural Leonesa 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Ceuta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 67% of the ball to Ceuta's 33%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.03 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ceuta led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cultural Leonesa and 2.00 for Ceuta.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Ceuta?

Cultural Leonesa 0-1 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 39%, draw 32%, Ceuta 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cultural Leonesa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
25 Oct 2025
17:15 Eibar vs Leganes Analysis →
17:15 Albacete vs Cordoba Analysis →
19:30 Burgos vs Real Sociedad II Analysis →
19:30 Granada vs Cadiz Analysis →
22:00 Mirandes vs Racing Santander Analysis →