Racing Santander 0-1 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
21.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 32% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.8
X/1
18%
4.43
X/2
9%
9.8
X/X
15%
4.83
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2 EV+ ✗
15%
8.15
2/X
6%
17.8
Value flag · 2/2 at 8.15 — our 15% vs market 9.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.68/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.36
-20% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
18.3 Crosses 16.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mirandes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.36 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
283 Passes 289
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
03.12.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
06.05.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
11.12.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 1-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
04.01.2020 Mirandes Mirandes 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
17.09.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 4-0 HT 2-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
0-1
AWAY Mirandes
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
425 Passes 148
79% Pass Accuracy 56%
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes edged past Racing Santander 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Santander at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Racing Santander had 67% of the ball to Mirandes's 33%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Santander had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Racing Santander and 0.50 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Mirandes?

Racing Santander 0-1 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 44%, draw 26%, Mirandes 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing Santander) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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