Almeria vs Granada Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almeria v Granada — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs Granada Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 3-0
Granada
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Almeria
HAZ
0-0
HT 0-0
Granada
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS2
2-0
HT 1-0
Granada
İS2
Almeria 2-1 Granada — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria squeezed past Granada 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Almeria had 56% of the ball to Granada's 44%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.97 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Almeria's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Granada led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almeria and 1.00 for Granada.
What was the final score of Almeria vs Granada?
Almeria 2-1 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almeria vs Granada?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Almeria 49%, draw 25%, Granada 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.