Coruxo 0-1 UD Ourense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coruxo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ourense EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.24/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
-5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coruxo
0-1
AWAY UD Ourense
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coruxo vs UD Ourense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ourense edged past Coruxo 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Coruxo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Coruxo had 52% of the ball to UD Ourense's 48%, shots finished 22-9.

What was the final score of Coruxo vs UD Ourense?

Coruxo 0-1 UD Ourense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coruxo vs UD Ourense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coruxo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Coruxo 45%, draw 31%, UD Ourense 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Coruxo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coruxo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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