UCAM Murcia 2-0 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
0.82/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.92
-38% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Estepona
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Estepona Estepona 1-1 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
08.09.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-0 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
24.03.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-0 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
12.11.2023 Estepona Estepona 1-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
2-0
AWAY Estepona
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia saw off Estepona 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had UCAM Murcia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 57% of the ball to Estepona's 43%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, UCAM Murcia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for UCAM Murcia and 0.50 for Estepona.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Estepona?

UCAM Murcia 2-0 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 48%, draw 29%, Estepona 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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