Estepona 1-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.1pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.7pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.1pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 45%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +0%
0.78/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.79
-19% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
239 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
1W-0D-2L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-0 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
24.03.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-0 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
12.11.2023 Estepona Estepona 1-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
1-1
AWAY UCAM Murcia
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Estepona vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona and UCAM Murcia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 35% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Estepona had 53% of the ball to UCAM Murcia's 47%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, UCAM Murcia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Estepona and 0.67 for UCAM Murcia.

What was the final score of Estepona vs UCAM Murcia?

Estepona 1-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estepona 27%, draw 35%, UCAM Murcia 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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