UCAM Murcia 1-0 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
39%
2.83
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.44
Over 2.5
27%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-6.8pp
39%
Draw
32%
+7.5pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.8pp
73%
Under 2.5
66%
+7.7pp
27%
Over 2.5
34%
-7.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.67/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.74
-43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +48%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estepona
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Estepona Estepona 1-0 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
1-0
AWAY Estepona
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia nicked a narrow win over Estepona 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 39% / 27%) promised a tight game; UCAM Murcia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 52% of the ball to Estepona's 48%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Estepona?

UCAM Murcia 1-0 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 33%, draw 39%, Estepona 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
24 Mar 2024
13:00 CD Guadalajara vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Villanovense Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Marbella Analysis →
14:00 Cartagena II vs Yeclano Analysis →
14:00 Velez vs Cadiz II Analysis →
14:00 Cayon vs Compostela Analysis →