Marino De Luanco 1-2 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
0.74/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.87
-34% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
237 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Numancia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 1-0 Numancia Numancia İS4
26.10.2024 Numancia Numancia 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
16.01.2021 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 0-0 Numancia Numancia İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
1-2
AWAY Numancia
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
17 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia nicked a narrow win over Marino De Luanco 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Numancia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 62% of the ball to Numancia's 38%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Marino De Luanco had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Marino De Luanco and 0.33 for Numancia.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Numancia?

Marino De Luanco 1-2 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 36%, draw 29%, Numancia 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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