Marino De Luanco 1-0 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
0.22/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.94
-77% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Numancia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Numancia Numancia 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
16.01.2021 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 0-0 Numancia Numancia İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
1-0
AWAY Numancia
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco squeezed past Numancia 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Marino De Luanco found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 46% of the ball to Numancia's 54%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Marino De Luanco and 0.50 for Numancia.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Numancia?

Marino De Luanco 1-0 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 30%, draw 30%, Numancia 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Numancia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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