Numancia 1-0 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Oct 2024

Numancia
1-0 HT 1-0
Marino De Luanco
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2024/2025

Numancia vs Marino De Luanco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Numancia v Marino De Luanco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Numancia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.71/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.09
+1% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
207 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Numancia vs Marino De Luanco Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Numancia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.01.2021 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 0-0 Numancia Numancia İS3
POST-MATCH Numancia vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia nicked a narrow win over Marino De Luanco 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Numancia vs Marino De Luanco?

Numancia 1-0 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Numancia vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Numancia 48%, draw 27%, Marino De Luanco 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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