Rayo Cantabria 1-2 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.3pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.62/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.52
+17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Cantabria
1W-1D-0L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-1 HT 1-1 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
10.09.2023 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 1-3 HT 1-2 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
1-2
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Deportivo Fabril nicked a narrow win over Rayo Cantabria 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rayo Cantabria at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 65% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 35%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rayo Cantabria had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rayo Cantabria and 1.00 for RC Deportivo Fabril.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Rayo Cantabria 1-2 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 42%, draw 31%, RC Deportivo Fabril 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rayo Cantabria), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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